Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.463992 0.536318 0.615339 0.707968 0.813450 0.929710 1.067434
2025-07-20 0.359432 0.462189 0.585738 0.744646 0.942987 1.181706 1.490078
2025-07-27 0.296378 0.412305 0.561816 0.767497 1.041640 1.392798 1.874782
2025-08-03 0.248871 0.369668 0.534780 0.774823 1.112322 1.566911 2.221905
2025-08-10 0.210881 0.331925 0.506048 0.771700 1.162902 1.713099 2.539449
2025-08-17 0.179716 0.298273 0.476940 0.761683 1.198811 1.837789 2.833517
2025-08-24 0.155205 0.270572 0.452065 0.753135 1.233207 1.959958 3.130780
2025-08-31 0.131913 0.241095 0.420072 0.728508 1.238317 2.035944 3.361662
2025-09-07 0.124303 0.236677 0.427535 0.767391 1.346628 2.278619 3.869086
2025-09-14 0.107716 0.214053 0.401455 0.746668 1.353944 2.359545 4.122591
2025-09-21 0.093678 0.194014 0.377244 0.725926 1.358098 2.433907 4.368851
2025-09-28 0.082221 0.177208 0.356695 0.709041 1.366462 2.514568 4.629965
2025-10-05 0.075958 0.170016 0.353584 0.724642 1.435868 2.708313 5.106042
2025-10-12 0.072658 0.168483 0.361216 0.761531 1.548177 2.987236 5.755432
2025-10-19 0.068180 0.163793 0.361958 0.784817 1.636480 3.229051 6.355293
2025-10-26 0.062642 0.155956 0.355287 0.792293 1.694352 3.418387 6.871444
2025-11-02 0.056800 0.146553 0.344136 0.789104 1.730211 3.568013 7.322444
2025-11-09 0.051063 0.136538 0.330429 0.778877 1.750422 3.688326 7.724909
2025-11-16 0.046094 0.127633 0.318088 0.770149 1.772594 3.813481 8.144820
2025-11-23 0.040582 0.116518 0.299334 0.745004 1.757178 3.861479 8.413435
2025-11-30 0.039717 0.117318 0.308604 0.784704 1.886202 4.213568 9.322660
2025-12-07 0.035332 0.108055 0.292563 0.763546 1.877974 4.279224 9.644959
2025-12-14 0.031435 0.099515 0.277242 0.742368 1.867522 4.338851 9.957885